First try on afflow+zeropark arbitrage (2)
I decided to give a try on afflow+zeropark arbitrage after reading Vortex and Mr Payne's posts.
As a beginner in AM, I am following Mr Payne's 'find the honey' method.
I used 100USD as the total budget to setup an aggressive campaign (using both adult and non-adult traffic).
I only use mobile traffic (from carrier only) for the campaign.
I followed Mr Payne's suggestion to use 5 as initial daily budget and increase by 5 until the previous budget has been used up.
It took 18 hours to run out the total 100 budget. The campaign start from 4pm 03May2017 (UTC+8) until 10am 04May2017 (UTC+8)
I got my first profile to analyze.
Based on guild-lines from the posts, I pickup 5 potential candidates (geo+carrier+offer) with a list of targets for each.
So I setup 7 campaigns. For 2 of the 5 candidates, I found both adult and non-adult traffic give positive profile in the aggressive campaign.
Below is the screenshot.
https://stmforum.com/forum/attachmen...1&d=1494050065
For each of the 7 campaigns, I set initial budget 5USD and start to monitor for each for 2 days.
While monitoring each campaign, I pay special attention to those targets who were pickup in the initial aggresive campaign.
Here is my strategy:
1. I always keep my bidding price highest for those targets.
2. For the rest of the targets, i use default bidding.
3. If the spent on each target is 5 times of the payout, but didnt give me one lead, i cut it
By using the strategy above, I get some good ones and some bad ones.
one of the bad one.
https://stmforum.com/forum/attachmen...1&d=1494050074
Now, I still have 4 active campaigns (1 green, 2 almost green, 1 still red but got potential to go green)
Here are the screenshots for each of the good one.
1.
https://stmforum.com/forum/attachmen...1&d=1494050083
2.
https://stmforum.com/forum/attachmen...1&d=1494050091
3.
https://stmforum.com/forum/attachmen...1&d=1494050100
4.
https://stmforum.com/forum/attachmen...1&d=1494050107
Overall, it has been a nice journey so far. I am quite satisfied with the result.
What i achieve so far,
1. I have ran through the whole process of seting up campaigns, monitoring, cutting down the targets, and without spending too much 
2. Have identified 4 campaigns, which hopefully give me a postive return.
Things need to be improved.
1. The approval of campaigns took a few hours. This is a bottleneck to those short-lives offers.
so I am thinking of getting a few campaigns setup (one idea is to setup one campaign for each geo+carriel+adult/nonadult). Those campaigns can be used later.
2. more optimization techniques to be applied. From the graph above, dayparting filtering might be working, I will work on that.
3. The process (of identify honey offers, monitoring and verifying, and optimizing) need to be in a more structured way, so I can pass it to my team to be in charge so i have bandwith to find more honey.
4. diagnose the live feed to get trending offers before others.
I will continue on those 4 campaigns and update again, cheers.
Thanks again to Vortex and Mr Payne for your awesome posts.
Cheer,
John
All looks good!
Agree with all your suggested improvements as well. And yes - having a ton of camps set up ahead of time and approved and waiting, is exactly what I did as well. That way you can turn traffic on/off at will.
A couple of suggestions:
1)Even the camps you've deemed as "bad": Look to see if there are profitable placements. If you have enough of them that are jointly giving you enough profits, you could still cut some/all of the rest of the placements to push the camp to green. My favorite rule-of-thumb for cutting placements, is when a placement is at loss by 2 times the average payout or more.
2)By bidding so extremely low, you have the advantage of cost-savings, which is a great approach. Another approach to try if you wish, would be to bid higher to get more traffic volume, and get access to traffic from the good-quality placements. Since other competitors are bidding higher for traffic from those, you wouldn't get any of it by bidding low. However, the higher you bid, the more unprofitable placements you'll need to cut before the camp will be profitable.
Looking forward to your next update!
Amy
Home > > Newbie Follow-Alongs